Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kawasaki Frontale in this match.