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J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 at 7am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
1 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Wakizaka (52')
Ominami (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tashiro (90+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
67.24% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 19.21% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03) 13.54% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.27% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)42.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)65.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.27% (0.019000000000005 0.02)11.72% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.14% (0.045000000000002 0.05)36.85% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)43.05% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)79.33% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 67.23%
    Sagan Tosu 13.54%
    Draw 19.21%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 8.29% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 4.44% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 67.23%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.21%
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 13.54%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 29 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, April 23 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 3-4 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in J1 League


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