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J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2023 at 7am UK
Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka

Shonan Bellmare
1 - 2
Reysol

Sugioka (45+5')
Suzuki (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Savio (28'), Hosoya (55')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawKashiwa Reysol
45.53% (1.274 1.27) 26.46% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 28.01% (-1.353 -1.35)
Both teams to score 49.87% (-1.041 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (-0.956 -0.96)54.44% (0.954 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.803 -0.8)75.81% (0.80200000000001 0.8)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (0.19500000000001 0.2)23.84% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (0.28 0.28)58.03% (-0.282 -0.28)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.49% (-1.539 -1.54)34.51% (1.536 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.77% (-1.673 -1.67)71.23% (1.672 1.67)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 45.53%
    Kashiwa Reysol 28.01%
    Draw 26.46%
Shonan BellmareDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.5 0.5)
2-1 @ 9% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.403 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.215 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.301 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 28.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, April 23 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Yokohama
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 4-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, March 19 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Reysol
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 9 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-3 Urawa
Friday, March 31 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Reysol
Sunday, March 19 at 5am in J1 League


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