Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.