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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Oct 3, 2020 at 7am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 3
Kawasaki

Okuno (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Seko (37' og.), Damiao (83'), Mitoma (84')
Jesiel (14'), Oshima (71')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Kawasaki Frontale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawKawasaki Frontale
22.19%23.46%54.35%
Both teams to score 53.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98%47.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73%69.26%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52%35.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.76%72.24%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8%17.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52%47.47%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 22.19%
    Kawasaki Frontale 54.34%
    Draw 23.46%
Cerezo OsakaDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 6.32%
2-1 @ 5.77%
2-0 @ 3.28%
3-1 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.75%
3-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 22.19%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-2 @ 9.45%
1-3 @ 5.75%
0-3 @ 5.55%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 2.53%
0-4 @ 2.44%
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 54.34%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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