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J1 League | Gameweek 34
Oct 10, 2020 at 6am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Cerezo

Mateus (90+1')
Abe (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
41.52%26.83%31.65%
Both teams to score 50.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.59%54.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22%75.79%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16%25.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19%60.82%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2%31.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77%68.24%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 41.52%
    Cerezo Osaka 31.65%
    Draw 26.83%
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.42%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.65%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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