SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
40.43% ( 1.07) | 24.55% ( 0.06) | 35.02% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.14% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.24% ( -0.45) | 43.76% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.85% ( -0.45) | 66.15% ( 0.45) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% ( 0.32) | 21.68% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.18% ( 0.49) | 54.82% ( -0.49) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( -0.84) | 24.49% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.06% ( -1.2) | 58.94% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.43% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.02% |
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