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J1 League | Gameweek 10
Apr 28, 2024 at 7am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Yasui (24'), Thiago (70' pen.)
Thiago (16'), Ito (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Izumi (90+2')
Yonemoto (41')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 20 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Cerezo
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawNagoya Grampus
37.83% (-0.107 -0.11) 27.57% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 34.6% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (0.194 0.19)56.69% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.156 0.16)77.65% (-0.158 -0.16)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02% (0.028999999999996 0.03)28.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (0.035999999999994 0.04)64.87% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (0.197 0.2)30.97% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (0.23 0.23)67.28% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 37.82%
    Nagoya Grampus 34.6%
    Draw 27.57%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.82%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 10.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.17% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.6%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 20 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Urawa
Friday, April 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 3-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Urawa
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 4-4 Urawa
Sunday, March 17 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Cerezo
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Yokohama
Saturday, March 30 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League


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