Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Sagan Tosu
54.35% ( -0.22)	23.15% ( 0.06)	22.5% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 54.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.66% (

-0.1)

45.34% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.32% (

-0.1)

67.68% (

0.1)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41% (

-0.12)

16.59% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.61% (

-0.21)

46.39% (

0.21)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.76% (

0.09)

34.24% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.06% (

0.1)

70.94% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 54.34%

Sagan Tosu 22.5%

Draw 23.15%

Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.34%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.15%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 22.5%