Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
38.99% ( 0.11)	26.54% ( 0.01)	34.46% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 52.23% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.36% (

-0.07)

52.64% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.71% (

-0.06)

74.28% (

0.06)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

0.03)

26.39% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

0.04)

61.54% (

-0.03)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.95% (

-0.11)

29.05% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.04% (

-0.14)

64.96% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 38.99%

Kawasaki Frontale 34.47%

Draw 26.54%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.99%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.47%