Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.