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J1 League | Gameweek 29
Aug 15, 2020 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Leandro (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Naruse (62'), Langerak (90+4')
Naruse (83')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Tokyo in this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawNagoya Grampus
42.78%26.88%30.34%
Both teams to score 49.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99%55.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72%76.28%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54%25.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71%60.29%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96%33.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37%69.63%
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 42.77%
    Nagoya Grampus 30.34%
    Draw 26.87%
FC TokyoDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.87%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.41%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.34%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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