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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Jul 22, 2020 at 11.30am UK
Ōita Bank Dome

Oita Trinita
0 - 3
Nagoya Grampus


Tanaka (47'), Inoue (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yoshida (31'), Maruyama (48'), Yonemoto (73')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Oita Trinita and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Oita TrinitaDrawNagoya Grampus
31.25%27.18%41.56%
Both teams to score 49.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.14%55.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02%76.98%
Oita Trinita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17%32.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6%69.39%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32%61.67%
Score Analysis
    Oita Trinita 31.25%
    Nagoya Grampus 41.56%
    Draw 27.17%
Oita TrinitaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-0 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.25%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 11.55%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-2 @ 7.67%
1-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.56%


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