Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.