Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.