Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 67.4%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.