Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.