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J1 League | Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2020 at 4am UK
Yurtec Stadium Sendai

Vegalta Sendai
0 - 3
Sagan Tosu


Mate (32'), Guedes (45'), Nakahara (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alves (6'), Honda (55', 66')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Vegalta Sendai and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Vegalta SendaiDrawSagan Tosu
32.29%27.28%40.44%
Both teams to score 49.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04%55.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94%77.06%
Vegalta Sendai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85%32.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36%68.64%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86%27.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46%62.54%
Score Analysis
    Vegalta Sendai 32.29%
    Sagan Tosu 40.44%
    Draw 27.28%
Vegalta SendaiDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.44%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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