Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.