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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Nov 29, 2020 at 8am UK
Panasonic Stadium Suita

Gamba Osaka
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Patric (77')
Kurata (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sagara (11')
Dudu (52'), Harakawa (90+1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
44.15%26.77%29.07%
Both teams to score 49.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89%55.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64%76.36%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61%59.39%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96%34.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28%70.71%
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 44.14%
    Sagan Tosu 29.07%
    Draw 26.76%
Gamba OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 44.14%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.07%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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