Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.