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J1 League | Gameweek 31
Oct 18, 2020 at 6am UK
IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Valdo (71')
Tatsuta (27'), Nishimura (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hayashi (85')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Shimizu S-PulseDrawSagan Tosu
42.79%26.06%31.15%
Both teams to score 52.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54%51.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74%73.26%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13%23.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94%58.06%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36%30.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11%66.89%
Score Analysis
    Shimizu S-Pulse 42.79%
    Sagan Tosu 31.15%
    Draw 26.05%
Shimizu S-PulseDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 42.79%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 31.15%


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