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J1 League | Gameweek 16
Oct 14, 2020 at 11.30am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 0
Shonan Bellmare

Jonjic (90+2')
Nishikawa (74'), Toyokawa (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tani (45+1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Shonan Bellmare.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawShonan Bellmare
52.58%24.83%22.59%
Both teams to score 49.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.83%52.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11%73.89%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18%19.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1%51.9%
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03%37.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26%74.74%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 52.58%
    Shonan Bellmare 22.59%
    Draw 24.83%
Cerezo OsakaDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 52.58%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 7.53%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.49%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 22.59%


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