Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
Result | ||
Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
56.79% | 23.54% | 19.67% |
Both teams to score 49.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.63% | 50.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.69% | 72.31% |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% | 17.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.94% | 48.06% |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.07% | 39.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.41% | 76.59% |
Score Analysis |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 5.65% 4-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.78% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 6.43% 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.31% Total : 19.67% |
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