Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.