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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Oct 14, 2020 at 10.45am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
0 - 2
Kashima Antlers


Matsuoka (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shirasaki (12'), Inukai (86')
Shirasaki (41')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashima Antlers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKashima Antlers
24.19%25.03%50.78%
Both teams to score 50.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.51%51.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71%73.29%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89%36.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11%72.89%
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72%20.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36%52.63%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 24.19%
    Kashima Antlers 50.78%
    Draw 25.03%
Sagan TosuDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 7.46%
2-1 @ 6.06%
2-0 @ 3.8%
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 24.19%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-2 @ 9.32%
1-3 @ 5.05%
0-3 @ 4.96%
2-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 2.02%
0-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 50.78%


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