J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 6am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
Fujimoto (5'), Oh (54', 57')
Suzuki (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Sagan Tosu.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.
| Result |
| Machida Zelvia | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
49.69% ( 0.17) | 24.58% ( 0.02) | 25.73% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.23) |
| 51.62% ( -0.22) | 48.38% ( 0.22) |
| 29.48% ( -0.2) | 70.52% ( 0.2) |
| 80.5% ( -0.02) | 19.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.63% ( -0.03) | 51.37% ( 0.03) |
| 66.9% ( -0.27) | 33.1% ( 0.27) |
