Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kashima Antlers
23.28% ( -2.05)	24.61% ( -1.1)	52.11% ( 3.15)

Both teams to score 51.21% (

1.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.37% (

2.59)

50.62% (

-2.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.46% (

2.24)

72.53% (

-2.24)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.54% (

-0.4)

36.46% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.76% (

-0.41)

73.24% (

0.41)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

2.35)

19.4% (

-2.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.78% (

3.72)

51.22% (

-3.72)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 23.28%

Kashima Antlers 52.1%

Draw 24.6%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kashima Antlers
1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.86) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.28%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.77) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.51) 0-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.56) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.35) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.36) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.1%