Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Yokohama FC had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Yokohama FC win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.