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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Sep 5, 2020 at 10.45am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
3 - 0
Yokohama FC

Kanamori (11'), Hayashi (81'), Koyamatsu (86')
Cho (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tezuka (59'), Matsuo (68')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Yokohama FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Yokohama FC had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Yokohama FC win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawYokohama FC
43.54%27.3%29.16%
Both teams to score 48.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95%57.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06%77.94%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74%26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.98%61.02%
Yokohama FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65%35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25%71.74%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 43.53%
    Yokohama FC 29.16%
    Draw 27.29%
Sagan TosuDrawYokohama FC
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 29.16%


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