Sagan Tosu
1 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse

Harakawa (35')
Matsuoka (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Carlinhos (19')
Carlinhos (63'), Umeda (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
39.65%	27.43%	32.92%

Both teams to score 49.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.62%

56.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6%

77.4%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23%

27.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65%

63.35%

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.07%

31.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.62%

68.38%

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 39.65%

Shimizu S-Pulse 32.92%

Draw 27.43%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.65%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.92%