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J1 League | Gameweek 12
Aug 1, 2020 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 3
Sagan Tosu

Leandro (39'), Hara (86')
Leandro (33'), Oliveira (44'), Muroya (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ishii (29'), Morishita (43'), Cho (56')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawSagan Tosu
52.04%26.99%20.97%
Both teams to score 42.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.72%61.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.8%81.2%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19%23.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02%57.98%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.15%44.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19%80.81%
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 52.03%
    Sagan Tosu 20.97%
    Draw 26.97%
FC TokyoDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 15.32%
2-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 4.22%
4-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.69%
4-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 52.03%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 4.93%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 0.95%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 20.97%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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