Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.