J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 10.30am UK
EDION Stadium
We said: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Although Sanfrecce Hiroshima have lost their last four matches, they boast an impressive head-to-head record against Saturday's opponents.
They have won their last three meetings with Kashima, including a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture, and we think that they will draw upon that experience to claim another narrow win this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Kashima Antlers win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
50.83% ( 0.46) | 26.09% ( -0.12) | 23.08% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 46.72% ( -0.03) |
| 43.57% ( 0.14) | 56.43% ( -0.14) |
| 22.56% ( 0.11) | 77.44% ( -0.11) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| 77.72% ( 0.26) | 22.28% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.27% ( 0.39) | 55.73% ( -0.39) |
| 60.11% ( -0.24) | 39.89% ( 0.24) |
