Gamba did well last weekend to secure top of their League Cup group, but they now face a Kashima side who are in formidable form across all competitions.
The Antlers have been the division's most stubborn defence in June and should be confident of keeping a fifth-straight clean sheet at the Panasonic Stadium on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
0.34) 
-0.48) 
