Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
