Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
