Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.03) 
