Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
51.06% ( -0.78)	26.33% ( -0.21)	22.61% ( 0.99)

Both teams to score 45.55% (

1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.31% (

1.56)

57.69% (

-1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.55% (

1.22)

78.44% (

-1.22)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29% (

0.32)

22.7% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

0.47)

56.36% (

-0.47)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93% (

1.9)

41.07% (

-1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38% (

1.65)

77.62% (

-1.65)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51.04%

Kyoto Sanga 22.61%

Draw 26.33%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 13.82% ( -0.71) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.74% Total : 51.04%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.57) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.61%