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J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 21, 2022 at 5am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
3 - 1
Kyoto Sanga

Mitsuta (5'), Santos (26'), Asada (66' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Taketomi (42')
Appiah Tawiah (55')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Hiroshima vs. Cerezo
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, May 29 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Kashima Antlers vs. Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKyoto Sanga
51.06% (-0.781 -0.78) 26.33% (-0.209 -0.21) 22.61% (0.988 0.99)
Both teams to score 45.55% (1.652 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.31% (1.56 1.56)57.69% (-1.562 -1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55% (1.22 1.22)78.44% (-1.222 -1.22)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (0.318 0.32)22.7% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (0.47000000000001 0.47)56.36% (-0.47300000000001 -0.47)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.93% (1.901 1.9)41.07% (-1.903 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (1.647 1.65)77.62% (-1.649 -1.65)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51.04%
    Kyoto Sanga 22.61%
    Draw 26.33%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 13.82% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-0 @ 10.24% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.095 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.143 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 51.04%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.57 -0.57)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.252 0.25)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.291 0.29)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.165 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.61%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Hiroshima
Friday, May 13 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 Reysol
Tuesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 Hiroshima
Friday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Hiroshima
Sunday, April 17 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 10 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse
Saturday, May 14 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, May 7 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Tuesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-2 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, April 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 10 at 8am in J1 League


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