Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
28.81% ( 0.01)	27.79% ( 0.05)	43.39% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 46.53% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.04% (

-0.18)

58.96% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.56% (

-0.14)

79.44% (

0.14)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.7% (

-0.09)

36.3% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.91% (

-0.1)

73.08% (

0.09)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

-0.12)

26.95% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71% (

-0.15)

62.29% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 28.81%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.39%

Draw 27.78%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.81%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.39%