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J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 at 5am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
3 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Soteriou (50'), Yamagishi (72' og.), Kawamura (89')
Ben Khalifa (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yamagishi (30')
Oda (11'), Maejima (54')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
59.94% (-0.466 -0.47) 24.41% (0.355 0.36) 15.65% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 40.22% (-0.66 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.02% (-1.024 -1.02)58.97% (1.019 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.55% (-0.801 -0.8)79.44% (0.797 0.8)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.571 -0.57)19.58% (0.567 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.48% (-0.937 -0.94)51.51% (0.933 0.93)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.01% (-0.465 -0.47)49.98% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.35% (-0.327 -0.33)84.64% (0.322 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.93%
    Avispa Fukuoka 15.65%
    Draw 24.4%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 15.95% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 13.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.07% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 59.93%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.79% (0.371 0.37)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 15.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 22 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-3 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 15 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Reysol
Sunday, March 19 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 29 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, April 15 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, April 1 at 6am in J1 League


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