Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.