Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.