Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 2-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.