Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.