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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 10, 2021 at 10am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
2 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse

Nishio (22'), Kiyotake (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nakayama (5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawShimizu S-Pulse
51.77%25.49%22.74%
Both teams to score 48.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46%54.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11%75.88%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91%21.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08%53.92%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.85%39.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13%75.86%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 51.77%
    Shimizu S-Pulse 22.74%
    Draw 25.49%
Cerezo OsakaDrawShimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 12.85%
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.74%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 22.74%

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