Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
