Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.