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J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 10, 2021 at 11am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 0
Tokushima Vortis

Mateus (52' pen.), Chima Fujita (83' og.), Kanazaki (89' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ichimi (76'), Ishii (90+3')
Kishimoto (50')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Tokushima Vortis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawTokushima Vortis
58.85%24.46%16.69%
Both teams to score 41.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.28%57.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.53%78.47%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48%19.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59%51.41%
Tokushima Vortis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.17%47.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.89%83.11%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 58.85%
    Tokushima Vortis 16.69%
    Draw 24.46%
Nagoya GrampusDrawTokushima Vortis
1-0 @ 15.25%
2-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 5%
4-0 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.85%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 3.39%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 6.89%
1-2 @ 4.15%
0-2 @ 2.54%
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 16.69%

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