Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.