Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashiwa Reysol in this match.