Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 64.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
