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J1 League | Gameweek 6
Apr 3, 2024 at 11am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
2 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Germain (75' pen., 79')
Germain (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Komi (7'), Hoshi (44')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 30 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawAlbirex Niigata
41.94% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 25.85% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 32.22% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.9% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (0.106 0.11)50.23% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (0.094000000000001 0.09)72.18% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.016000000000005 0.02)23.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (0.023000000000003 0.02)57.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.105 0.11)29.31% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.13099999999999 0.13)65.28% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 41.93%
    Albirex Niigata 32.22%
    Draw 25.85%
Jubilo IwataDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-5 Jubilo Iwata
Friday, March 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, February 24 at 4am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, November 5 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 30 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 16 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, February 24 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Cerezo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League


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