Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
39.56% ( 0.26)	27.05% ( 0.08)	33.39% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 50.42% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.16% (

-0.37)

54.84% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.86% (

-0.31)

76.14% (

0.3)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9% (

-0.03)

27.1% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.52% (

-0.04)

62.49% (

0.04)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

-0.41)

30.84% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

-0.48)

67.12% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Jubilo Iwata 39.56%

Nagoya Grampus 33.39%

Draw 27.04%

Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.56%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.39%