Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
44.85% ( -2.46)	23.23% ( 0.2)	31.92% ( 2.26)

Both teams to score 62.92% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.61% (

0.24)

38.39% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.32% (

0.25)

60.67% (

-0.25)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.48% (

-0.85)

17.52% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.96% (

-1.51)

48.03% (

1.51)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

1.5)

23.71% (

-1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.16% (

2.11)

57.84% (

-2.1)

Score Analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 44.85%

Jubilo Iwata 31.92%

Draw 23.23%

Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.44) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.99% Total : 44.85%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.23%	1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.92%