SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Consadole Sapporo | 37 | -1 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | FC Tokyo |
59.01% ( -0.46) | 23.48% ( 0.24) | 17.51% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.07% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.94% ( -0.59) | 53.06% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.35% ( -0.5) | 74.64% ( 0.5) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( -0.38) | 17.71% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.63% ( -0.66) | 48.37% ( 0.66) |
| FC Tokyo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.99% ( -0.08) | 44% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.87% ( -0.06) | 80.13% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | FC Tokyo |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 59% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.51% |
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